Bitcoin 5-Minute Up/Down Tick Data — 2026-10-16
On 2026-10-16, 286 Polymarket BTC 5m Up/Down market rounds were recorded. Up resolved as the winner in 134 rounds (46.9%), Down in 152. The average round saw the Up share move across a 64¢ range, with the lead changing hands 4.39 times per round on average.
286
Rounds recorded
46.9%
Up win rate
134 up / 152 down
64¢
Avg swing
max − min Up price per round
100¢
Wildest round
biggest single-round swing
Up win rate by hour (UTC)
Share of rounds each hour where the Up side won. The dashed line marks 50%.
00:0006:0012:0018:0023:00
Most volatile round of the day
btc-updown-5m-1792194900.csv swung 100¢, flipped leader 9 times and resolved DOWN. Ten sampled ticks:
| timestamp | time (UTC) | up_price | down_price | remaining_min |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1792194901 | 23:55:01 | 0.51 | 0.50 | 4.98 |
| 1792194932 | 23:55:31 | 0.51 | 0.50 | 4.47 |
| 1792194961 | 23:56:00 | 0.52 | 0.49 | 3.99 |
| 1792194990 | 23:56:29 | 0.48 | 0.54 | 3.50 |
| 1792195019 | 23:56:59 | 0.40 | 0.61 | 3.02 |
| 1792195048 | 23:57:28 | 0.43 | 0.58 | 2.53 |
| 1792195077 | 23:57:57 | 0.72 | 0.28 | 2.05 |
| 1792195106 | 23:58:26 | 0.85 | 0.23 | 1.56 |
| 1792195136 | 23:58:55 | 0.78 | 0.23 | 1.07 |
| 1792195166 | 23:59:25 | 0.75 | 0.24 | 0.57 |
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