Bitcoin 5-Minute Up/Down Tick Data — 2026-10-18
On 2026-10-18, 288 Polymarket BTC 5m Up/Down market rounds were recorded. Up resolved as the winner in 142 rounds (49.3%), Down in 146. The average round saw the Up share move across a 61¢ range, with the lead changing hands 3.6 times per round on average.
288
Rounds recorded
49.3%
Up win rate
142 up / 146 down
61¢
Avg swing
max − min Up price per round
98¢
Wildest round
biggest single-round swing
Up win rate by hour (UTC)
Share of rounds each hour where the Up side won. The dashed line marks 50%.
00:0006:0012:0018:0023:00
Most volatile round of the day
btc-updown-5m-1792289400.csv swung 98¢, flipped leader 9 times and resolved UP. Ten sampled ticks:
| timestamp | time (UTC) | up_price | down_price | remaining_min |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1792289401 | 02:10:00 | 0.44 | 0.57 | 4.99 |
| 1792289433 | 02:10:33 | 0.51 | 0.50 | 4.45 |
| 1792289462 | 02:11:02 | 0.30 | 0.71 | 3.96 |
| 1792289491 | 02:11:30 | 0.22 | 0.79 | 3.49 |
| 1792289519 | 02:11:58 | 0.08 | 0.93 | 3.02 |
| 1792289547 | 02:12:27 | 0.03 | 0.98 | 2.54 |
| 1792289576 | 02:12:56 | 0.02 | 0.99 | 2.06 |
| 1792289605 | 02:13:24 | 0.11 | 0.90 | 1.59 |
| 1792289633 | 02:13:53 | 0.73 | 0.36 | 1.11 |
| 1792289662 | 02:14:22 | 0.94 | 0.07 | 0.63 |
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