Bitcoin 5-Minute Up/Down Tick Data — 2026-10-19

On 2026-10-19, 285 Polymarket BTC 5m Up/Down market rounds were recorded. Up resolved as the winner in 137 rounds (48.1%), Down in 148. The average round saw the Up share move across a 62¢ range, with the lead changing hands 4.49 times per round on average.

285
Rounds recorded
48.1%
Up win rate
137 up / 148 down
62¢
Avg swing
max − min Up price per round
99¢
Wildest round
biggest single-round swing

Up win rate by hour (UTC)

Share of rounds each hour where the Up side won. The dashed line marks 50%.

00:0006:0012:0018:0023:00

Most volatile round of the day

btc-updown-5m-1792417500.csv swung 99¢, flipped leader 12 times and resolved DOWN. Ten sampled ticks:

timestamptime (UTC)up_pricedown_priceremaining_min
179241750213:45:010.380.634.97
179241753413:45:330.200.814.44
179241756413:46:030.190.823.94
179241759313:46:330.580.433.45
179241762213:47:020.430.582.96
179241765213:47:310.600.412.47
179241768113:48:010.530.481.98
179241771113:48:300.930.081.48
179241774013:49:000.990.020.99
179241777113:49:300.310.710.49
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