Bitcoin 5-Minute Up/Down Tick Data — 2026-10-21
On 2026-10-21, 283 Polymarket BTC 5m Up/Down market rounds were recorded. Up resolved as the winner in 147 rounds (51.9%), Down in 136. The average round saw the Up share move across a 66¢ range, with the lead changing hands 5.22 times per round on average.
283
Rounds recorded
51.9%
Up win rate
147 up / 136 down
66¢
Avg swing
max − min Up price per round
100¢
Wildest round
biggest single-round swing
Up win rate by hour (UTC)
Share of rounds each hour where the Up side won. The dashed line marks 50%.
00:0006:0012:0018:0023:00
Most volatile round of the day
btc-updown-5m-1792557000.csv swung 100¢, flipped leader 5 times and resolved DOWN. Ten sampled ticks:
| timestamp | time (UTC) | up_price | down_price | remaining_min |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1792557001 | 04:30:00 | 0.56 | 0.45 | 4.99 |
| 1792557032 | 04:30:31 | 0.65 | 0.36 | 4.47 |
| 1792557060 | 04:30:59 | 0.77 | 0.24 | 4.00 |
| 1792557088 | 04:31:27 | 0.82 | 0.18 | 3.53 |
| 1792557116 | 04:31:56 | 0.93 | 0.08 | 3.07 |
| 1792557144 | 04:32:24 | 0.99 | 0.02 | 2.60 |
| 1792557172 | 04:32:52 | 0.99 | 0.02 | 2.13 |
| 1792557201 | 04:33:21 | 0.98 | 0.03 | 1.64 |
| 1792557231 | 04:33:50 | 0.44 | 0.57 | 1.16 |
| 1792557260 | 04:34:19 | 0.01 | 1.00 | 0.67 |
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