Bitcoin 5-Minute Up/Down Tick Data — 2026-10-22

On 2026-10-22, 286 Polymarket BTC 5m Up/Down market rounds were recorded. Up resolved as the winner in 135 rounds (47.2%), Down in 151. The average round saw the Up share move across a 62¢ range, with the lead changing hands 4.35 times per round on average.

286
Rounds recorded
47.2%
Up win rate
135 up / 151 down
62¢
Avg swing
max − min Up price per round
100¢
Wildest round
biggest single-round swing

Up win rate by hour (UTC)

Share of rounds each hour where the Up side won. The dashed line marks 50%.

00:0006:0012:0018:0023:00

Most volatile round of the day

btc-updown-5m-1792668300.csv swung 100¢, flipped leader 13 times and resolved UP. Ten sampled ticks:

timestamptime (UTC)up_pricedown_priceremaining_min
179266830111:25:000.490.524.99
179266833211:25:310.400.614.47
179266836111:26:000.360.653.98
179266839011:26:300.630.383.50
179266841911:26:580.490.513.02
179266844811:27:270.340.672.54
179266847711:27:560.310.702.05
179266850611:28:260.180.821.56
179266853511:28:550.020.991.08
179266856511:29:240.460.600.59
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