Bitcoin 5-Minute Up/Down Tick Data — 2026-10-01

On 2026-10-01, 285 Polymarket BTC 5m Up/Down market rounds were recorded. Up resolved as the winner in 153 rounds (53.7%), Down in 132. The average round saw the Up share move across a 64¢ range, with the lead changing hands 4.62 times per round on average.

285
Rounds recorded
53.7%
Up win rate
153 up / 132 down
64¢
Avg swing
max − min Up price per round
99¢
Wildest round
biggest single-round swing

Up win rate by hour (UTC)

Share of rounds each hour where the Up side won. The dashed line marks 50%.

00:0006:0012:0018:0023:00

Most volatile round of the day

btc-updown-5m-1790837100.csv swung 99¢, flipped leader 5 times and resolved DOWN. Ten sampled ticks:

timestamptime (UTC)up_pricedown_priceremaining_min
179083710106:45:010.620.394.98
179083713306:45:330.670.334.44
179083716306:46:030.480.533.95
179083719206:46:320.650.363.46
179083722206:47:010.680.322.97
179083725106:47:310.850.162.48
179083728006:48:000.970.042.00
179083730906:48:290.970.041.51
179083733806:48:580.900.151.03
179083736806:49:270.570.440.53
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