Bitcoin 5-Minute Up/Down Tick Data — 2026-10-02
On 2026-10-02, 284 Polymarket BTC 5m Up/Down market rounds were recorded. Up resolved as the winner in 141 rounds (49.6%), Down in 143. The average round saw the Up share move across a 64¢ range, with the lead changing hands 4.92 times per round on average.
284
Rounds recorded
49.6%
Up win rate
141 up / 143 down
64¢
Avg swing
max − min Up price per round
99¢
Wildest round
biggest single-round swing
Up win rate by hour (UTC)
Share of rounds each hour where the Up side won. The dashed line marks 50%.
00:0006:0012:0018:0023:00
Most volatile round of the day
btc-updown-5m-1790916900.csv swung 99¢, flipped leader 11 times and resolved UP. Ten sampled ticks:
| timestamp | time (UTC) | up_price | down_price | remaining_min |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1790916901 | 04:55:00 | 0.43 | 0.58 | 4.99 |
| 1790916931 | 04:55:31 | 0.60 | 0.41 | 4.48 |
| 1790916960 | 04:56:00 | 0.65 | 0.36 | 4.00 |
| 1790916989 | 04:56:29 | 0.63 | 0.38 | 3.52 |
| 1790917018 | 04:56:58 | 0.55 | 0.46 | 3.03 |
| 1790917047 | 04:57:27 | 0.61 | 0.40 | 2.55 |
| 1790917077 | 04:57:56 | 0.69 | 0.32 | 2.06 |
| 1790917106 | 04:58:25 | 0.54 | 0.47 | 1.57 |
| 1790917135 | 04:58:54 | 0.12 | 0.89 | 1.09 |
| 1790917164 | 04:59:23 | 0.03 | 0.98 | 0.60 |
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